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AKZA:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMAkzo Nobel N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

€57.78

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Akzo Nobel is trading just above its 20‑day simple moving average and comfortably above the 50‑day level, while the 30‑day volatility remains elevated, indicating a choppy short‑term environment. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits in the mid‑50s, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition, but the MACD has turned bearish with a negative histogram, tempering upside momentum. Fundamentally, the company posts a PE ratio in the mid‑teens and a dividend yield above 3%, supporting a value‑oriented case, yet revenue has slipped nearly 9% year‑over‑year and the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 120%, flagging financial strain. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus “buy” and median price targets around €63, implying modest upside from the current level. The strong cash generation and a payout ratio near 55% underpin the sustainability of the dividend, even as the firm navigates higher leverage and a challenging market backdrop. Overall, the stock appears fairly priced with a slight bias toward value, offering a decent dividend while the near‑term price action may be constrained by technical weakness and a looming resistance zone.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price approaching recent resistance
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets indicating upside
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Improving earnings outlook despite revenue dip

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand and global market position
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Reasonable valuation relative to earnings and book value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.70%
Profit Margin6.25%
P/E Ratio16.0
ROE13.15%
ROA3.29%
Debt/Equity120.89
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow€941.0M
Free Cash Flow€689.9M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.1
Support€48.02
Resistance€67.64
MA 20€56.95
MA 50€53.33
MA 200€56.63
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value€35.34
Target Price€61.71
Upside/Downside6.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.43%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility81.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.